Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 83.477189 93.336615 103.369331 114.311394 125.878952 137.715620 150.714791
2025-10-12 69.457094 83.868526 99.130168 116.370947 135.187716 154.993732 177.311583
2025-10-19 59.398073 76.203701 94.552934 115.819404 139.551052 165.007381 194.173572
2025-10-26 51.542578 69.977400 90.674037 115.204792 143.098051 173.487009 208.772183
2025-11-02 45.905331 65.652109 88.383574 115.854433 147.588244 182.605378 223.703211
2025-11-09 40.337039 60.872591 85.117595 114.978589 149.995648 189.097470 235.442199
2025-11-16 36.085509 57.316433 82.980645 115.135377 153.344415 196.450513 247.969671
2025-11-23 31.777800 53.322003 80.017569 114.051712 155.028906 201.722866 257.980169
2025-11-30 29.144663 51.278197 79.284445 115.503700 159.574939 210.193845 271.564004
2025-12-07 26.924585 49.599954 78.869087 117.226351 164.349863 218.860560 285.318677
2025-12-14 23.793678 46.416282 76.336118 116.167604 165.653101 223.365237 294.173860
2025-12-21 20.544901 42.789335 73.017435 113.948283 165.404637 225.927234 300.669960
2025-12-28 19.853813 42.891465 74.665934 118.082392 173.003488 237.886578 318.283490
2026-01-04 18.625038 42.085191 75.027834 120.525838 178.499079 247.338340 332.967158
2026-01-11 16.497669 39.705361 73.106684 119.905756 180.109786 252.075218 342.040644
2026-01-18 14.574178 37.470524 71.262949 119.288523 181.647626 256.667165 350.897492
2026-01-25 13.199568 36.012821 70.433557 119.949458 184.747279 263.115204 361.937365
2026-02-01 11.525942 33.873042 68.509201 119.056502 185.808005 267.033692 369.918975
2026-02-08 10.277015 32.354220 67.409986 119.216360 188.166944 272.505562 379.738019
2026-02-15 8.845171 30.327452 65.445836 118.111135 188.835855 275.856285 386.970395
2026-02-22 8.116748 29.577276 65.374922 119.592000 192.835171 283.304631 399.144456
2026-03-01 7.502556 28.990028 65.518898 121.348706 197.179812 291.174545 411.829382
2026-03-08 6.384277 27.201784 63.693279 120.269055 197.760833 294.332554 418.769595